WARNING - POSSIBLE SPOILER(S) HEREIN.
This movie is a definite work of art. The entire cast and crew are superb in their production.
Basically, anyone could be the murderer in this film or there may be more than one murderer or a murderer or murderers with an accomplice or accomplices. In any event, deciphering it will keep you on your toes, figuratively speaking.
The heaviest suspects are the construction worker/snow plow driver/minister fellow known as Gary Jackson, the elusive and possibly non-existent "Oliver", and the investigating detective known as Detective Jerry Black.
Benicio Del Toro's character, Toby Jay Wadenah, was essentially ruled out by the fact that he was imprisoned at the time of the first murder which occurred on July 18, 1992 in Monash County, Nevada, if one agrees with the modus operandi theory. From a psychological viewpoint, Mr. Wadenah was lead into a confession via duress from the egotistical and impatient Detective Stan Krolak.
The teenage boy who appeared on the scene of the second murder dealt with in the movie arrived there as a result of bogging his snowmobile down into snow. His curiosity at seeing Mr. Wadenah departing the wooded area in an apparent state of stress and/or fear prompted him to go into the wooded area whereupon he encountered the crime scene.
The good minister whom his mother believed that the good Lord had not yet seen fit to provide him with a perfect-enough wife as yet, is a strong suspect due to the unusualness of his stopping his truck on the side of the road, getting out of it, and striking a conversation with a young female child with whom he is not acquainted, nor is there any indication in the movie that he is acquainted with the child's mother. Additionally, working as a construction worker during the summer and a snow plow driver during the winter puts him in a state of freedom, comparatively speaking, to be on the scene of the first murder which was committed in July and the second murder which was committed in the winter of 2000, as well as possibly having some association with the missing child.
Oliver's name is called out by the Christmas store lady a total six times, once on the first occasion and five times on the second. But, to our knowledge, we are never given any further information regarding Oliver. The Christmas store lady could have been talking to an imaginary character, a ghost, herself, or a host of other possibilities. Furthermore, if there is in reality an Oliver, he is associated with chocolate porcupine candies.
Detective Jerry Black is a suspect for a minimum of four reasons: 1) he makes the statement to his former colleagues, "At the time of the murders Toby Wadenah was in Stillwater Penitentiary doing time on his own rape conviction, so he couldn't have done it". The problem with his statement is that at that time which would have been during July of 1992, there was only one murder confirmed, that of Luanne Fay Rotze. The case of Catherine Anne Olstad, reported missing on October 12, 1997, was not classified as a murder but as "Missing - Presumed Dead". Either Jack's character made a Freudian slip, a simple mistake in language, or an assumption not characteristic for a law enforcement officer, retired or not. 2) Jack's character likewise talked with Chrissy in the restaurant and seemed a little "too" interested in her. 3) He made the statement at the Crazy Daze Parade/Festival in re the red dress which Chrissy picked out, "Well, that'll look real nice. It is her colour". 4) He made the statement at the crime scene regarding a knife being easily thrown far away, "Assuming it was a knife".
Furthermore, the question can be legitimately posed as to why he was the person to inform the Larsens of their daughter's murder out of all the other officers in attendance at the crime scene.
We are not given much information regarding Detective Black's background other than he's been divorced twice, he is a chain smoker, a possible alcoholic, lifted evidence from Sheriff P. Adrien Dorval's file without permission, didn't appear to be concerned about lying to James Olstad in stating that he was a detective instead of a retired detective, his office was decorated with pictures of himself and fish indicating self-centeredness and/or self-obsession and/or narcissism, was controlling in his offer to pay a high price to the owner of the gas station for his own self-serving purposes as well as other instances of control, broke out into a sweat upon questioning by his therapist regarding current sexual activity while hearing the words in his head "There are such devils", as well as other parts of the conversation between Mrs. Larsen and himself. Those are just the starters.
Detective Black was definitely obsessed with the case and was clearly baiting Chrissy into a similar situation as the previous girls had encountered.
The question is, who was he baiting? The murders and missing girl's cases seemed to give his life meaning. What were his motives? What did he want? Why was he willing to leave his own retirement party to investigate a case in another county? Additionally, he was dimensionally slowed down consciousness-wise at his retirement party possibly indicating depression and/or "black hole" effect, superficial, and appeared ungrateful.
Then there is the situation wherein Chrissy is swinging in her red dress, the black station wagon with a porcupine creation hanging from the rear-view mirror drives by and stops just out of forward sight Chrissy dismounts the swing to meet whomever was driving the vehicle, and the sound of the door opening. The scene just prior to that one depicted Jerry's character on the lake fishing. That night she told Jerry about having met the wizard and showed him the porcupine candies which she stated that the wizard had given her and also that he would provide more the next day.
There are more than one black station wagons in the vicinity and portrayed in the movie or else they are changing license plates frequently. The wagon which the minister is driving in one scene is not the same style station wagon as the one shown in the scene with Chrissy or in the wreck. Nor is it clear that the station wagon at the service station when Jerry pumps gas and tells the driver that his type of vehicle sticks out is definitely being driven by the minister.
The mysteries abound in this movie. Enjoy them but don't become obsessed with them. This is excellent work mystery-wise.
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